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BAGHDAD Shaq Lawson Shirt , Sept. 24 (Xinhua) -- As the Iraqi Kurds are going ahead into a controversial referendum on independence of the semi-autonomous region of Kurdistan, experts warn that the move would deteriorate the already complex situation in the Middle East.


The referendum is not a declaration of independence, but still it is a way for the Iraqi Kurds to express their intention to pursue independence more aggressively in a post-Islamic State (IS) Iraq, and to solidify their territorial gains, most importantly the oil-rich Kirkuk province.


The insistence of the regional Kurdish leadership on holding independence referendum apparently is to win two goals; one is to raise the ceiling of the Kurdish claims and demands when beginning negotiation with Baghdad to gain more power Dion Dawkins Shirt , according to Ibrahim al-Ameri, an Iraqi political analyst.


"The reason behind winning such goal is to put more pressure on Baghdad and creating future bargaining power to resolve pending files with Baghdad, including the distribution of oil wealth and disputed areas outside the region's provinces of Erbil, Sulaimaniyah and Dohuk," Ameri told Xinhua in an interview.


The Kurds consider the northern oil-rich province of Kirkuk and parts of Nineveh Zay Jones Shirt , Diyala and Salahudin provinces as "disputed areas" and want them to be incorporated into their Kurdish region, a move fiercely opposed by the Arabs and Turkomans and by Baghdad government.


The Kurds will use the referendum to legitimize their hold of newly gained territories from the fight against IS militants. After the blitzkrieg of IS group in June 2014, Kurdistan region has gained control over many of the disputed areas, most importantly Kirkuk province.


"Knowing that the bargaining position with Baghdad and Washington is diminishing as the fight against IS group is coming to an end, the Kurds are acting fast to solidify their territorial gains before pressure will redirected to push the Kurds out of those disputed areas Tre'Davious White Shirt ," Ameri concluded.


The second goal of the Kurds is to express their intention to separate from Baghdad rule and establish an independent state, according to Ameri.


The Kurds realize that an independent state is not possible soon, although the referendum is widely believed to be "Yes" to independence, because the international and regional situations will not allow any possible deterioration such as uncontrolled remapping in the Middle East region which already is filled with crises.


"However, the Kurds realize that even if Baghdad accepts the separation of the three Kurdish provinces in their borders before 2003 Kelvin Benjamin Shirt , it will not be easy for Baghdad to accept the huge expansion of the Kurds outside the region in what is known as disputed areas, including the oil-rich province of Kirkuk," Ameri said.


The Kurds apparently are confident that the referendum inside the three Kurdish provinces will be "Yes," and apparently they guaranteed that they have enough votes for the "Yes" in the claimed disputed areas outside the region, despite the strong rejection of some Turkomans and Arabs and other minorities.


Baghdad government and the political parties have no alternative but to reject the referendum on independence that includes the disputed areas Kyle Williams Shirt , as the country's national elections is closing next year.